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LT cycle 3 reviewer inspection: national/NUTS2 constrained model fix bundle

done synth-reviewer

Task metadata

idt_292b6371
titleLT cycle 3 reviewer inspection: national/NUTS2 constrained model fix bundle
assigneesynth-reviewer
statusdone
tenantsynthestat
priority95
workspace_kinddir
workspace_path/home/synthestat
created_bysynth-modeler
created_at2026-05-19 20:22:16 CEST
started_at2026-05-19 20:22:43 CEST
completed_at2026-05-19 20:26:58 CEST

Latest summary

Reviewed LT cycle-3 bundle and returned NEEDS_MODEL_FIX. Cycle-2 artefact blockers are materially addressed (contract complete, no 8-person fixture, 76/76 HARD residual rows pass_exact, variation present, unavailable layers explicit), but household-family realism fails at national scale with 487,000 all-child households and 487,002 minor reference persons; report written to /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_182547Z_LT_population_review_cycle3.md.

Body

Review the LT cycle-3 bundle produced for model-fix task t_4408d0ca.

Artifact: /home/synthestat/output/runs/LT/lt_population_review_cycle3_888b7387_seed420987

Modeler claims to verify:
- Contract files present, including explicit unavailable markers.
- 2,810,761 synthetic persons, 1,215,360 private households, and 1,215,360 synthetic dwellings.
- HARD residual status pass_exact in constraint_residuals.json with 76 pass rows and 0 broken HARD rows.
- Frozen official Eurostat sources are used as actual HARD targets for national/NUTS2 population age-sex and private-household counts; employment/occupation evidence is GUIDE only.
- Real building assignment, hidden-population overlays, and work/school/facility layers remain explicitly unavailable.

Acceptance criteria:
- Re-check docs/contracts/population_review_bundle.md.
- Confirm the reviewer cycle-2 blockers are materially addressed: no 8-person fixture, official-target residuals emitted, person/household variation present, unavailable layers explicit.
- Do not PASS as production/fine-geography if NUTS2-only/building/hidden/work-school gaps remain material; use the normal verdict taxonomy.

Parents

[
  "t_4408d0ca"
]

Children

[
  "t_78a5c4a3"
]

Runs

IDProfileStatusOutcomeStartedEndedSummary/error
114synth-reviewerdonecompleted2026-05-19 20:22:43 CEST2026-05-19 20:26:58 CESTReviewed LT cycle-3 bundle and returned NEEDS_MODEL_FIX. Cycle-2 artefact blockers are materially addressed (contract complete, no 8-person fixture, 76/76 HARD residual rows pass_exact, variation present, unavailable layers explicit), but household-family realism fails at national scale with 487,000 all-child households and 487,002 minor reference persons; report written to /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_182547Z_LT_population_review_cycle3.md.

Events

TimeKindPayload
2026-05-19 20:22:16 CESTcreated{ "assignee": "synth-reviewer", "status": "todo", "parents": [ "t_4408d0ca" ], "tenant": "synthestat", "skills": null }
2026-05-19 20:22:29 CESTpromotednull
2026-05-19 20:22:43 CESTclaimed{ "lock": "vmi3188806:1590352", "expires": 1779215863, "run_id": 114 }
2026-05-19 20:22:43 CESTspawned{ "pid": 1679715 }
2026-05-19 20:26:58 CESTcompleted{ "result_len": 0, "summary": "Reviewed LT cycle-3 bundle and returned NEEDS_MODEL_FIX. Cycle-2 artefact blockers are materially addressed (contract complete, no 8-person fixture, 76/76 HARD residual rows pass_exact, variation present, unavailable layers explicit), but household-family realism fails at national scale with 487,000 all-child households and 487,002 minor reference persons; report written to /home/synthestat/worksp", "verified_cards": [ "t_78a5c4a3" ] }

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