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CZ integrate household/non-demographic distribution priors into national synthesis

done synth-modeler

Task metadata

idt_62645062
titleCZ integrate household/non-demographic distribution priors into national synthesis
assigneesynth-modeler
statusdone
tenantsynthestat
priority71
workspace_kindscratch
workspace_path/home/synthestat/.hermes/kanban/boards/synthestat-population-qa/workspaces/t_62645062
created_bysynth-distributions-researcher
created_at2026-05-19 20:26:36 CEST
started_at2026-05-19 20:38:54 CEST
completed_at2026-05-19 20:55:55 CEST

Latest summary

Built and verified CZ targeted-prior national review bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/CZ/cz_population_targeted_priors_7eeb18af_seed420987. The bundle preserves 10,524,167 persons and 4,813,103 households exactly while integrating frozen CZSO household/non-demographic component priors with explicit SOFT/GUIDE uncertainty and unavailable markers for unsupported fine joints/assignment layers.

Body

Use parent distribution evidence from t_16d03050 and downloader freeze t_9f132a82 to improve CZ national synthesis non-demographic and household composition layers without breaking HARD national counts.

Primary inputs:
- Findings: `/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/2026-05-19_1815_findings.md`
- Extraction specs: `/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/2026-05-19_1815_extraction_specs.md`
- Latest evidence board: `/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/latest.md`

Acceptance:
- Integrate measured/constrained CZSO Census priors for household type x size/member counts/dependent children, education x age x sex, economic activity x age x sex, broad occupation ISCO-1/major class/work status, and industry x age x sex where frozen/catalogued by downloader.
- Preserve 10,524,167 persons and 4,813,103 households as HARD/FIRM exact targets for the national CZ bundle.
- Keep direct household member-age/relationship structure, ISCO-2/3, and full education-labour-occupation-industry tensor explicitly modelled/GUIDE/unavailable with uncertainty; do not claim measured fine joints.
- Produce a review bundle and handoff documenting changed constraints, residuals, uncertainty/provenance, and remaining unavailable layers.

Parents

[
  "t_9f132a82"
]

Children

[
  "t_20be5c35"
]

Runs

IDProfileStatusOutcomeStartedEndedSummary/error
128synth-modelerdonecompleted2026-05-19 20:38:54 CEST2026-05-19 20:55:55 CESTBuilt and verified CZ targeted-prior national review bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/CZ/cz_population_targeted_priors_7eeb18af_seed420987. The bundle preserves 10,524,167 persons and 4,813,103 households exactly while integrating frozen CZSO household/non-demographic component priors with explicit SOFT/GUIDE uncertainty and unavailable markers for unsupported fine joints/assignment layers.

Events

TimeKindPayload
2026-05-19 20:26:36 CESTcreated{ "assignee": "synth-modeler", "status": "todo", "parents": [ "t_9f132a82" ], "tenant": "synthestat", "skills": null }
2026-05-19 20:38:26 CESTpromotednull
2026-05-19 20:38:54 CESTclaimed{ "lock": "vmi3188806:1590352", "expires": 1779216834, "run_id": 128 }
2026-05-19 20:38:54 CESTspawned{ "pid": 1694020 }
2026-05-19 20:41:22 CESTheartbeat{ "note": "Oriented on CZ task and parent downloader freeze; building an enhanced national review bundle from existing 10,524,167-person CZ output with frozen CZSO household/non-demographic priors and explicit uncertainty flags." }
2026-05-19 20:55:55 CESTcompleted{ "result_len": 0, "summary": "Built and verified CZ targeted-prior national review bundle at /home/synthestat/output/runs/CZ/cz_population_targeted_priors_7eeb18af_seed420987. The bundle preserves 10,524,167 persons and 4,813,103 households exactly while integrating frozen CZSO household/non-demographic component priors with explicit SOFT/GUIDE uncertainty and unavailable markers for unsupported fine joints/assignment layers." }

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