PT population synthesis QA cycle 1 bundle review

Task metadata

Latest summary

NEEDS_MODEL_FIX for PT run pt_population_review_cycle1_dd672afa_seed420987. Bundle is present/readable and HARD/FIRM summaries pass, but QA found internal artefact/diagnostic inconsistency in dwelling household references, unsupported HH_SINGLE_E/M/Y age semantics, and incomplete provenance metadata; reviewer report written to /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_164417Z_PT_population_review_cycle1.md and remediation card t_bc46c93f created.

Body

Review the Portugal (PT) population synthesis QA cycle 1 review bundle produced by parent task t_ebf9abe4.

Project root: /home/synthestat
Country: PT
Release mode: internal research review
Contract: /home/synthestat/docs/contracts/population_review_bundle.md

Review requirements:
- Locate the parent modeler bundle path/run_id from the parent handoff.
- Validate the review bundle against the population_review_bundle.md contract.
- Check all required files exist, or have explicit unavailable.json reasons.
- Check build_manifest.json minimum fields: country, run_id, timestamps, git/dirty marker, seed, source catalogue/geography/crosswalk versions, constraints_used, constraints_relaxed, zones_degraded, hidden_population_scope, assignment_scope, known_limitations.
- Check constraint precedence: HARD exact, FIRM normally <=2%, SOFT normally <=5%, GUIDE/INFORMATIONAL not overclaimed as measured constraints.
- Check uncertainty: every modelled estimate/fine-geography field/hidden-population overlay has uncertainty bounds or explicit unavailable/degraded flags.
- Check provenance: source IDs, retrieval timestamps where available, geography levels, reference periods, source universe, quality flags.
- Check hidden-population overlays do not silently rewrite de jure constraints.
- Check household/family, dwelling/building, and work/school assignment claims are supported by evidence or explicitly marked modelled/unavailable.
- Flag any silent degradation, missing data, failed download, relaxed constraint, or overclaiming.

Return exactly one routing verdict in metadata and summary:
- PASS
- NEEDS_MODEL_FIX
- NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES
- BLOCKED_INVALID_OUTPUT
- EVIDENCE_EXHAUSTED_HUMAN_REVIEW
- MODEL_IMPROVEMENT_EXHAUSTED_HUMAN_REVIEW

Metadata shape requested:
{
  "country": "PT",
  "reviewed_run_id": "...",
  "bundle_path": "...",
  "verdict": "ONE_OF_THE_ALLOWED_VERDICTS",
  "blocking_findings": [...],
  "non_blocking_findings": [...],
  "hard_constraints_ok": true/false,
  "uncertainty_ok": true/false,
  "provenance_ok": true/false,
  "recommended_next_branch": "..."
}

Do not fix the bundle yourself. Complete as a reviewer with a branchable verdict only.

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