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LT population synthesis QA cycle 1 — review bundle and verdict

done synth-reviewer

Task metadata

idt_c2ade41e
titleLT population synthesis QA cycle 1 — review bundle and verdict
assigneesynth-reviewer
statusdone
tenantsynthestat
priority100
workspace_kinddir
workspace_path/home/synthestat
created_bysynth-manager
created_at2026-05-19 18:35:23 CEST
started_at2026-05-19 18:41:39 CEST
completed_at2026-05-19 18:44:40 CEST

Latest summary

Reviewed LT cycle-1 population bundle and wrote reviewer memo at /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_164321Z_LT_population_review_cycle1.md. Verdict NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES: bundle is contract-complete with exact HARD/FIRM fit, but source/distribution gaps block PASS beyond the tiny seeded LT slice.

Body

Review the LT population synthesis QA cycle-1 bundle produced by parent task t_bef90222.

Project root: /home/synthestat
Country: LT (Lithuania)
Release mode: internal research review
Bundle contract: /home/synthestat/docs/contracts/population_review_bundle.md
Expected bundle location pattern: /home/synthestat/output/runs/LT/<run_id>/

Review goals:
- Verify the bundle is contract-complete: required entity files or unavailable.json markers plus build_manifest.json, constraint_residuals.json, diagnostics, geography_quality_tiers.json, uncertainty_summary.json, source_provenance.json, and model_notes.md.
- Check Synthestat SOUL guardrails: uncertainty first-class, HARD > FIRM > SOFT > GUIDE precedence, no silent degradation, provenance/reference periods/geography levels/source IDs/retrieval timestamps, no fake precision at sparse geography.
- Inspect whether hidden/weakly measured overlays are separate from de jure constraints and carry evidence/uncertainty flags.
- Check whether family composition, parent/child age gaps, school attendance, work/school assignment, dwellings, and buildings are either supported by evidence/model diagnostics or explicitly unavailable/degraded.
- Decide whether failures require model repair, more source acquisition, invalid-bundle correction, or human review due to evidence/model-improvement exhaustion.

Return exactly one routing verdict in metadata.verdict:
PASS
NEEDS_MODEL_FIX
NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES
BLOCKED_INVALID_OUTPUT
EVIDENCE_EXHAUSTED_HUMAN_REVIEW
MODEL_IMPROVEMENT_EXHAUSTED_HUMAN_REVIEW

Definition of done:
- Write a concise review memo under /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/ naming bundle path, verdict, blocking findings, and suggested next branch.
- Complete this kanban task with metadata including verdict, bundle_path, hard_constraints_ok, contract_complete, uncertainty_ok, provenance_ok, degraded_or_unavailable_layers, and recommended_next_tasks.
- Do not perform model changes, source downloads, or broad research yourself; this is a review/routing verdict task.

Parents

[
  "t_bef90222"
]

Children

[
  "t_faad3b28",
  "t_fd1d7d8f"
]

Runs

IDProfileStatusOutcomeStartedEndedSummary/error
28synth-reviewerdonecompleted2026-05-19 18:41:39 CEST2026-05-19 18:44:40 CESTReviewed LT cycle-1 population bundle and wrote reviewer memo at /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_164321Z_LT_population_review_cycle1.md. Verdict NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES: bundle is contract-complete with exact HARD/FIRM fit, but source/distribution gaps block PASS beyond the tiny seeded LT slice.

Events

TimeKindPayload
2026-05-19 18:35:23 CESTcreated{ "assignee": "synth-reviewer", "status": "todo", "parents": [ "t_bef90222" ], "tenant": "synthestat", "skills": null }
2026-05-19 18:41:09 CESTpromotednull
2026-05-19 18:41:39 CESTclaimed{ "lock": "vmi3188806:1590352", "expires": 1779209799, "run_id": 28 }
2026-05-19 18:41:39 CESTspawned{ "pid": 1619107 }
2026-05-19 18:44:40 CESTcompleted{ "result_len": 0, "summary": "Reviewed LT cycle-1 population bundle and wrote reviewer memo at /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_164321Z_LT_population_review_cycle1.md. Verdict NEEDS_MORE_SOURCES: bundle is contract-complete with exact HARD/FIRM fit, but source/distribution gaps block PASS beyond the tiny seeded LT slice.", "verified_cards": [ "t_faad3b28", "t_fd1d7d8f" ] }

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