CZ urgent source closure: exact distribution priors needed for >8-person national synthesis
done synth-distributions-researcher
Task metadata
| id | t_f35ab7ff |
|---|---|
| title | CZ urgent source closure: exact distribution priors needed for >8-person national synthesis |
| assignee | synth-distributions-researcher |
| status | done |
| tenant | synthestat |
| priority | 100 |
| workspace_kind | scratch |
| workspace_path | /home/synthestat/.hermes/kanban/boards/synthestat-population-qa/workspaces/t_f35ab7ff |
| created_by | user |
| created_at | 2026-05-19 19:49:56 CEST |
| started_at | 2026-05-19 19:50:00 CEST |
| completed_at | 2026-05-19 19:55:07 CEST |
Latest summary
DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX: completed CZ urgent distribution source closure and wrote findings/extraction/latest handoffs plus a wiki output memo. The >8-person failure is a fixture-bound generator/manifest-runner implementation bug, not a vague missing-distribution blocker; remaining true gaps are explicitly named as GUIDE/modelled/unavailable.
Body
URGENT: The CZ QA web/status must not sit at "done" while the artifact is only 8 synthetic persons. Cycle-3 reviewer verdict is NEEDS_MODEL_FIX, but distribution/joint priors must be checked now so the next modeler/coder rerun is not blocked by vague "more evidence". Parent reviewer: t_3e7c7885 Cycle-3 bundle: /home/synthestat/output/runs/CZ/cz_population_review_cycle3_841ad7a3_seed420987 Current failure: synthetic_persons.parquet has 8 records vs CZSO 2021 target 10,524,167. Your job as distributions researcher: 1. Read the reviewer report, prior CZ distribution handoff, and source catalogues: - /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/reviewer/2026-05-19_174546Z_CZ_population_review_cycle3.md - /home/synthestat/output/catalogue/cz_official_sources_catalogue_latest.json - /home/synthestat/output/catalogue/cz_population_qa_cycle2_downloader_bundle_latest.json 2. Identify exact joint/conditional evidence needed for CZ scaling beyond the 8-person fixture: household composition, age-sex-household relationships, education/occupation/industry priors, migration-origin priors, and uncertainty requirements. 3. Distinguish "implementation/generator bug, no more source needed" from real missing priors. No generic requests. Name exact datasets/tables or recommend GUIDE priors with uncertainty if official evidence is unavailable. 4. Write handoff under /home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/ and docs/wiki/outputs/. 5. Complete with a short verdict: DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX or DISTRIBUTION_BLOCKED_WITH_EXACT_MISSING_INPUTS.
Parents
[ "t_3e7c7885" ]
Children
[ "t_7543c007" ]
Runs
| ID | Profile | Status | Outcome | Started | Ended | Summary/error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | synth-distributions-researcher | done | completed | 2026-05-19 19:50:00 CEST | 2026-05-19 19:55:07 CEST | DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX: completed CZ urgent distribution source closure and wrote findings/extraction/latest handoffs plus a wiki output memo. The >8-person failure is a fixture-bound generator/manifest-runner implementation bug, not a vague missing-distribution blocker; remaining true gaps are explicitly named as GUIDE/modelled/unavailable. |
Events
| Time | Kind | Payload |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 19:49:56 CEST | created | {
"assignee": "synth-distributions-researcher",
"status": "ready",
"parents": [
"t_3e7c7885"
],
"tenant": "synthestat",
"skills": null
} |
| 2026-05-19 19:50:00 CEST | claimed | {
"lock": "vmi3188806:1645636",
"expires": 1779213900,
"run_id": 66
} |
| 2026-05-19 19:50:00 CEST | spawned | {
"pid": 1645640
} |
| 2026-05-19 19:55:07 CEST | completed | {
"result_len": 0,
"summary": "DISTRIBUTION_READY_FOR_MODEL_FIX: completed CZ urgent distribution source closure and wrote findings/extraction/latest handoffs plus a wiki output memo. The >8-person failure is a fixture-bound generator/manifest-runner implementation bug, not a vague missing-distribution blocker; remaining true gaps are explicitly named as GUIDE/modelled/unavailable.",
"artifacts": [
"/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/2026-05-19_1750_findings.md",
"/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/2026-05-19_1750_extraction_specs.md",
"/home/synthestat/workspace/manager_handoffs/distributions/latest.md",
"/home/synthestat/docs/wiki/outputs/2026-05-19_CZ_distribution_source_closure.md"
]
} |
Comments
No comments yet.